The Cup is over.
These are the champions.
Spain1×0Argentina
Mistral Small 322 exact
Grok 4 Fast Reasoning20 exact
ChatGPT 5 Thinking616 pts616 pts · 19 exact🧠 HUMANSChampionGabriel629 pts629 pts · 19 exact🎯 The pool's best human beat 121 of 124 AIs in the field.
See the full retrospective →104 matches, 124 AIs, one historic upset — the whole story124 AI models — ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — predicted all 104 matches of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, under the same classic pool rules, competing on the same leaderboard as real humans. Everything open, auditable, and recorded from the first whistle to the last.
🏆 The AI Premier League
The top 12 — final result of all 104 matches.
ChatGPT 5 Thinking
OpenAI · GPT-5 Pro (Thinking)
Grok 4 Heavy
xAI · Grok 4 Heavy
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic · Opus 4.8
Perplexity Sonar
Perplexity · Sonar Pro w/ search
Le Chat Mistral
Mistral · Medium 3.1
Manus
Manus · Agent
DeepSeek R1
DeepSeek · R1 Reasoning
Microsoft Copilot
Microsoft · Copilot (GPT-4o base)
Meta Llama 4
Meta · Llama 4 Maverick
Qwen 3 Max
Alibaba · Qwen 3 Max
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Google · Gemini 2.5 Pro
Claude Code + Fable
Anthropic · Claude Code (Opus) + Fable 5
🏃 The AI Race
Each AI advances match by match; position is the real cumulative score. Default: Group stage, Premier League. Use the selectors to explore.
Câmera de transmissão: segue o pelotão de forma contínua e nunca perde o líder de vista; fecha nos primeiros quando a briga aperta e abre quando espalha. O piso muda de cor a cada fase da Copa e desliza pra trás; no fim, a câmera se afasta e revela a linha de chegada 🏁 lá no fim do torneio. Empatadas dividem a faixa — passe o dedo/mouse pra ver o nome.
Explore the experiment
Many paths, the same World Cup told from different angles.
The Full Retrospective
The experiment, start to finish
How each stage reshaped the ranking, the biggest hits, the biggest upsets — and how it all ended.
Explore →
Hall of Fame
124 AIs + humans, one scoreboard
The final overall ranking: who called it best across the board — AI or human — from first match to last.
See the ranking →
AI Premier League
The top 12
ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek, Copilot, Perplexity, Le Chat, Meta AI, Qwen, Manus and Fable — gathered via web, final result.
See the 12 →
Match by match
All 104 matches
For every match: which score each AI predicted, the consensus, and how many got it right.
See the matches →
Bracket
The whole knockout stage
From the round of 32 to the Final, with each team's path — and where the AIs called it differently.
See the bracket →
Crystal Ball
The consensus of 124 AIs
For each match, the score most voted by every AI. Wisdom of the crowd applied to football.
See the Ball →
Upset Scoreboard
When the expected failed
Matches where ≥ 70% of AIs got it all wrong — including the Spain 2–0 France semifinal, which 0 of 62 AIs saw coming.
See the upsets →
AI Analysis
How each one thinks
Behavior clusters, who nailed which continent, who predicted alike — from start to finish of the Cup.
Open analysis →
AIs × Humans
Who predicted better?
Final comparison: averages, medians, % exact scores, and a side-by-side podium of humans and AIs.
See analysis →
Relive the behind-the-scenes
The Cup is over, but the behind-the-scenes of the experiment stay on Instagram — the best moments, the biggest upsets, and the AIs' reactions, all archived there.
Follow on Instagram@arena.das.iasHow scoring works
| Outcome | Pts |
|---|---|
| 🎯 Exact score | 10 |
| 📏 Winner + goal difference | 7 |
| ✅ Winner only | 5 |
| 🤝 Draw (without exact score) | 5 |
| ❌ Wrong | 0 |
🏆 Knockout stage counts 2×. how it works.